THE PREDICTABILITY OF AGGREGATE CONSUMPTION GROWTH IN OECD COUNTRIES: A PANEL DATA ANALYSIS (replication data)

DOI

We examine aggregate consumption growth predictability. We derive a dynamic consumption equation which encompasses relevant predictability factors: habit formation, intertemporal substitution, current income consumption and non-separabilities between private consumption and both hours worked and government consumption. We estimate this equation for a panel of 15 OECD countries over the period 1972-2007, taking into account parameter heterogeneity, endogeneity and error cross-sectional dependence using a GMM version of the common correlated effects mean group estimator. Small-sample properties are demonstrated using Monte Carlo simulations. The estimation results support income growth as the only variable with significant predictive power for aggregate consumption growth.

Identifier
DOI https://doi.org/10.15456/jae.2022321.0713934471
Metadata Access https://www.da-ra.de/oaip/oai?verb=GetRecord&metadataPrefix=oai_dc&identifier=oai:oai.da-ra.de:775667
Provenance
Creator Everaert, Gerdie; Pozzi, Lorenzo
Publisher ZBW - Leibniz Informationszentrum Wirtschaft
Publication Year 2014
Rights Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC-BY); Download
OpenAccess true
Contact ZBW - Leibniz Informationszentrum Wirtschaft
Representation
Language English
Resource Type Collection
Discipline Economics